গাইড লিঙ্ক ক্যুইজ · সহজ স্তর
ভবিষ্যদ্বাণীমূলক এআই কুইজ
পূর্বাভাস দিগন্ত, ইনপুট সময়, বেসলাইন, ত্রুটি নিদর্শন, অনিশ্চয়তা, স্থাপনা পর্যবেক্ষণ, এবং সিদ্ধান্তের জন্য ভবিষ্যদ্বাণীমূলক AI ধারণাগুলি প্রয়োগ করুন।
প্রশ্ন 1 এর 8
A model estimates tomorrow’s demand accurately. What does that alone say about what causes demand?
প্রতিটি প্রশ্নের পূর্বরূপ দেখুন8 প্রশ্ন
আপনি কুইজ নেওয়ার সাথে সাথে উত্তর এবং ব্যাখ্যাগুলি উপস্থিত হয়।
- A model estimates tomorrow’s demand accurately. What does that alone say about what causes demand?
- Nothing definitive; prediction accuracy alone does not establish causation
- It proves the strongest input causes demand
- It identifies a causal effect automatically
- It removes the need for study design
- Why define the prediction time and horizon before choosing inputs?
- All horizons use identical data
- Different horizons can require different inputs and evaluation
- It guarantees a precise forecast
- It removes the need for a baseline
- A model uses a feature that becomes available only after the forecast deadline. What is the issue?
- It is a baseline by definition
- It improves causal identification
- It would not actually be available when the prediction is issued
- It makes uncertainty intervals unnecessary
- A model forecasts future product demand. What else affects the replenishment action?
- Whether the forecast uses a chart
- Only the forecast’s decimal precision
- The model’s architecture name
- Lead time, storage capacity, shortage costs, and waste
- A model beats a simple baseline on one period. What should a team do next?
- Assume the baseline is obsolete everywhere
- Check additional periods and downstream costs before relying on it
- Deploy without monitoring
- Report the result as causal evidence
- Average forecast error is low, but peak-demand periods are consistently underpredicted. What does the guide warn?
- Peak cases should be excluded by default
- Average error proves every subgroup is accurate
- An average can conceal systematic errors in important periods
- The model has established why peaks occur
- A system reports uncertainty intervals. What should evaluation check?
- How often observations fall inside the reported intervals
- Whether all intervals have the same width
- Whether the point forecast is always the maximum
- Whether uncertainty can replace monitoring
- After deployment, outcomes arrive late and model decisions affect which outcomes are observed. What should the team do?
- Treat every correction as user error
- Assume missing outcomes are successful predictions
- Stop checking after launch
- Monitor input and outcome changes and record overrides and corrections