Byagenze bite
Ihuriro ridaharanira inyungu rya Basel Action Network (BAN) ryasohoye raporo ivuga ko imyanda ya elegitoroniki ijyanye na AI izaba igizwe na toni metero 395 na 617 muri 2050. Iyi projection irarenze cyane ugereranije n’ubushakashatsi bwakozwe mbere kuko ikubiyemo ibikorwa remezo byuzuye by’ibikorwa, nko gukonjesha, ingufu, n’ibikoresho byo mu muyoboro, aho kuba seriveri gusa n’umuvuduko.
Basel Action Network (BAN) yasohoye raporo nshya iburira ko e-imyanda iva mu bumenyi bwa AI yasuzuguwe cyane. Uyu muryango uteganya ko mu 2050, e-imyanda ijyanye na AI ishobora kugera kuri toni metero 395 kugeza kuri 617, bihwanye no kuzuza kontineri zoherezwa miliyoni 23.
Ikigereranyo cya raporo kiri hejuru cyane ugereranije nubushakashatsi bwabanje kuko BAN yaguye urugero rwayo kugirango ishyiremo ibikorwa remezo byose bifasha seriveri yamakuru. Ibi birimo gutanga amashanyarazi no gukwirakwiza, sisitemu yo gukonjesha, kugarura imbaraga, hamwe nu bikoresho byo guhuza imiyoboro, isesengura ryabanje akenshi ryasibwe.
BAN yashyizeho kandi igitekerezo cya 'AI imyanda yanduye,' ibara ibikorwa remezo byitumanaho nibikoresho byumuntu bishobora kuba bishaje mbere kubera iterambere rya AI. Uyu muryango ugereranya ko toni 70.000 za metero e-imyanda ikorwa kuri gigawatt yubushobozi bwikigo.
Raporo ivuga ku cyerekezo cya McKinsey kivuga ko ubushobozi bw’ikigo rusange bushobora kugera kuri gigawatt 219 mu 2030. Hashingiwe kuri ibyo, BAN ibara ko ibikoresho bijyanye na AI byasezeye hagati ya 2025 na 2050 bizavamo toni miliyoni 8,6 kugeza kuri 13.1 za metero e-imyanda mishya buri mwaka.
Ibisobanuro birambuye: theverge.com ↗
Impamvu ari ngombwa
Raporo yerekana ahantu hanini cyane ibidukikije mu nganda za AI kwaguka byihuse. Mugushyiramo 'AI imyanda yanduye' no gushyigikira ibikorwa remezo, ubushakashatsi bugaragaza ko sisitemu yo gutunganya ibicuruzwa idafite ibikoresho bihagije kugirango ikemure igipimo cy’imyanda iri hafi. Ibi bifite ingaruka zikomeye kuri politiki yubuyobozi ninshingano zamasosiyete, kuko munsi ya kimwe cya kane cy’imyanda ya e-imyanda ku isi ubu ikoreshwa neza, bigatuma habaho uburozi mu bice by’imyanda idasanzwe.
Kugeza ubu imicungire ya e-imyanda ku isi ntabwo ihagije, aho munsi ya 25% ya toni miliyoni 68.3 zitangwa buri mwaka zegeranijwe kandi zongera gukoreshwa. Benshi barangirira muri sisitemu yo gukusanya imyanda aho ibikoresho byo gutwika cyangwa gushyingura byerekana abakozi nibidukikije kubikoresho byuburozi nka gurş na chromium.
Amerika, yakira ibigo byinshi by’amakuru, ntabwo yemeje amasezerano ya Basel, amasezerano agamije kugabanya ubucuruzi mpuzamahanga bw’imyanda yangiza. Iperereza ryerekanye ko abatunganya ibicuruzwa muri Amerika bakunze kohereza e-imyanda mu mahanga, aho ikunze kwinjira mu buryo butemewe bwo gutunganya ibintu byangiza ubuzima bw’abaturage, harimo n’abana.
Ibigereranyo byabanje, nk'ubushakashatsi bwakozwe mu 2024 buvuga ko toni miliyoni 1,2 kugeza kuri miliyoni 5 za e-imyanda ya AI mu 2030, yibanze cyane kuri seriveri na GPU. BAN ivuga ko ubu buryo butabura hafi 87% by'ibikorwa remezo by'ikigo cy’amashanyarazi, bigatuma abantu badaha agaciro ingaruka z’ibidukikije.
Raporo ihamagarira abantu gufata ingamba na guverinoma gutangira gutegura iyi 'tsunami y’imyanda.' Hatabayeho ingamba zifatika, iyubakwa rya AI rirashobora gukaza umurego ikibazo cy’imyanda y’ubumara ihari, bigatuma hashobora kubaho igihe kirekire cy’ibidukikije n’ubuzima.
Uburyo bukoreshwa: Uburyo bukora
Shakisha ikoranabuhanga ryihishe inyuma yiri terambere.
crm_get_transaction(id='4092').What should a useful AI forecast state?
Ibyo kureba
Ibisubizo bigenga raporo, cyane cyane kubyerekeye Amasezerano ya Basel nubucuruzi bw’imyanda ishobora guteza akaga. Byongeye kandi, reba ibikorwa byinganda zo gushushanya ibyuma byikigo kugirango byoroherezwe gutunganya cyangwa kongera igihe cyibigize AI byihariye.
Ibikorwa byo gushyiraho amategeko no kugenzura muri Amerika hamwe n’ibindi bigo bikomeye bya AI bijyanye no gucunga imyanda iteje akaga no kwemeza amasezerano mpuzamahanga nk’amasezerano ya Basel.
Raporo irambye yibikorwa bya AI hamwe nabatanga ibicu, bashakisha byimazeyo ibyemezo bishya mubikorwa byubukungu bwizunguruka, kuramba kwibyuma, cyangwa gahunda yo gusubiza inyuma ibikorwa remezo byikigo.
Ubundi bushakashatsi bwigenga cyangwa kuvuguruza uburyo bwa BAN, cyane cyane kubyerekeranye nicyiciro cya 'AI imyanda yanduye' hamwe niterambere ryateganijwe ryubushobozi bwikigo.