Maxaa dhacay
Shabakadda Waxqabadka Basel ee aan faa'iido doonka ahayn (BAN) ayaa daabacday warbixin ay ku qiyaastay in qashinka elektiroonigga ah ee AI-ku xiran uu wadar ahaan u dhexeeyo 395 iyo 617 milyan metrik ton marka la gaaro 2050. Saadaashani aad ayay uga sareysaa daraasadihii hore sababtoo ah waxaa ku jira kaabayaasha xogta oo buuxa, sida qaboojinta, awoodda, iyo qalabka isku xirka, halkii ay ka ahaan lahaayeen kaliya server-yada iyo dardar-geliyayaasha.
Basel Action Network (BAN) ayaa soo saartay warbixin cusub oo ka digaysa in qashinka elektaroonigga ah ee ka yimaadda kobcinta AI si weyn loo dhayalsaday. Hay'addu waxay mashruucisa in sanadka 2050, wasakhda elektaroonigga ah ee AI laxiriirta ay gaari karto 395 ilaa 617 milyan metrik ton, oo u dhiganta buuxinta 23 milyan oo haamaha maraakiibta ah.
Qiyaasta warbixinta ayaa si aad ah uga sareysa daraasadihii hore sababtoo ah BAN waxay ballaarisay baaxaddeeda si ay ugu darto dhammaan kaabayaasha taageeraya server-yada xarumaha xogta. Tan waxaa ka mid ah koronto-siinta iyo qaybinta, nidaamyada qaboojinta, awoodda kaydinta, iyo qalabka isku xidhka, kuwaas oo falanqeyntii hore inta badan laga saaray.
BAN waxa kale oo ay soo bandhigtay fikradda 'AI Waste Contagion', kaas oo xisaabiya kaabayaasha isgaarsiinta iyo aaladaha gaarka ah ee laga yaabo in ay noqdaan kuwo duugoobay goor hore oo ay ugu wacan tahay horumarka AI. Hay'addu waxay ku qiyaastay in 70,000 metric ton oo qashinka elektarooniga ah la soo saaro gigawatt ee awoodda xarunta xogta.
Warbixintu waxay soo xiganeysaa saadaasha McKinsey in wadarta guud ee awooda xarunta xogta ay gaari karto 219 gigawatts marka la gaaro 2030. Iyadoo taas ku saleysan, BAN waxay xisaabineysaa in qalabka AI ee la xiriira shaqada ka fariistay intii u dhaxeysay 2025 iyo 2050 ay keeni doonto 8.6 ilaa 13.1 milyan metrik ton oo qashinka e-qashin cusub ah sanadkii.
Faahfaahinta isha: theverge.com ↗
Maxay muhiim u tahay
Warbixintu waxay iftiimisay meel xasaasi ah oo indho la'aanta deegaanka ah ee fidinta degdega ah ee warshadaha AI. Marka lagu daro 'AI Waste Contagion' iyo kaabayaasha taageerada, daraasaddu waxay daaha ka qaadaysaa in nidaamyada dib-u-warshadaynta hadda aanay u qalabaysan si ay u xakameeyaan baaxadda qashinka soo socda. Tani waxay saameyn weyn ku leedahay siyaasadda sharciyeynta iyo mas'uuliyadda shirkadda, maadaama in ka yar rubuc ka mid ah qashinka elektaroonigga ah ee caalamiga ah hadda si rasmi ah dib loo warshadeeyay, taasoo horseedaysa soo-gaadhista sunta ee qaybaha qashinka aan rasmiga ahayn.
Maaraynta qashinka elektaroonigga ah ee caalamiga ah hadda kuma filna, iyada oo in ka yar 25% 68.3 milyan oo tan oo sannadkii la soo saaro si rasmi ah loo ururiyo dibna loo warshadeeyo. Inta badan waxay ku dhamaanaysaa habab ururin qashin oo aan rasmi ahayn halkaas oo gubashada ama duugista qalabka ay u soo bandhigto shaqaalaha iyo deegaanka walxaha sunta ah sida rasaasta iyo chromium.
Maraykanka, oo martigeliya xarumaha xogta ugu badan, ayaan ansixin heshiiska Basel, oo ah heshiis loogu talagalay in lagu xaddido ganacsiga caalamiga ah ee qashinka khatarta ah. Baaritaanada ayaa muujiyay in dib u warshadeeyayaasha Mareykanka ay inta badan u raraan qashinka elektaroonigga ah dibadda, halkaas oo ay si joogta ah u galaan durdurro dib-u-warshad aan rasmi ahayn oo khatar ku ah caafimaadka bulshada maxalliga ah, oo ay ku jiraan carruurta.
Qiyaasihii hore, sida daraasad 2024 ah oo saadaalisay 1.2 ilaa 5 milyan oo tan oo qashinka e-e-e-e ah marka la gaaro 2030, ayaa si ciriiri ah diiradda u saaray server-yada iyo GPU-yada. BAN waxay ku doodaysaa in habkan uu tabayo ku dhawaad 87% kaabeyaasha makaanikada elektiroonigga ah ee xarunta xogta, taasoo horseedaysa hoos u dhac weyn oo ku saabsan saameynta deegaanka.
Warbixintu waxa ay u adeegtaa baaq ku wajahan shirkadaha iyo dawladaha si ay u bilaabaan qorshaynta 'Sunaami-kan qashinka ah'. Haddii aan la helin tallaabooyin firfircoon, dhismaha AI ee hadda jira wuxuu ka sii dari karaa dhibaatada qashinka sunta ah ee jirta, abuurista deymanaha deegaanka iyo caafimaadka muddada dheer.
Farsamaynta Is-dhexgalka: Sida Dhabta Ay U Shaqeyso
U baadh tignoolajiyada hoose ee ka dambeeya horumarkan si isdhexgal leh.
crm_get_transaction(id='4092').What should a useful AI forecast state?
Maxaa la daawan doona xiga
Jawaabaha sharciga ah ee warbixinta, gaar ahaan ku saabsan Axdiga Basel iyo ka ganacsiga qashinka khatarta ah. Intaa waxaa dheer, u fiirso dadaallada warshadaha si loo naqshadeeyo qalabka xarunta xogta si sahlan dib-u-warshadaynta ama loo kordhiyo cimriga qaybaha AI ee gaarka ah.
Tallaabooyinka sharci-dejinta iyo sharciyeynta ee Maraykanka iyo xarumaha kale ee AI ee waaweyn ee khuseeya maareynta qashinka khatarta ah iyo ansixinta heshiisyada caalamiga ah sida Axdiga Basel.
Warbixinada joogtaynta shirkadaha ee AI iyo bixiyeyaasha daruuriga ah, si gaar ah u raadinaya ballanqaadyo cusub oo ku saabsan dhaqamada dhaqaalaha wareegtada, cimri dhererka qalabka, ama barnaamijyada dib-u-celinta ee kaabayaasha xarunta xogta.
Cilmi-baaris madax-bannaan oo dheeraad ah ama diidmo ah habka BAN, gaar ahaan ku saabsan qaybta 'AI Waste Contagion' iyo heerarka kobaca ee la saadaaliyay ee awoodda xarunta xogta.