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Ibiranga Ibihe byigihe cyateganijwe
Ibiranga ibintu bihinduka guhanura mubyigishijwe bigenzurwa muguhuza ibyashize hamwe nibindi bizwi-ku-iteganyagihe-byinjira hamwe nintego yigihe kizaza.
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Incamake
Guhuza ingengabihe ikosora, kuzenguruka-idirishya imbibi no kwemeza igihe-ni ngombwa kugirango wirinde amakuru yigihe kizaza mumyitozo.
Kwibira cyane
Imbonerahamwe yerekana imbonerahamwe irashobora guhanura ibihe mugihe buri murongo wamahugurwa ugereranya inkomoko iteganijwe kandi ibiyiranga birimo amakuru aboneka kuri iyo nkomoko. Ibiranga ibintu byahinduwe bihinduka nka y_ (t-1), y_ (t-7) cyangwa y_ (t-24). Batanga amateka ya vuba nibisubirwamo nkibihe byerekana intego izaza y_t cyangwa y_ (t + h). Kuzenguruka imibare yerekana incamake yindangagaciro zashize, mugihe ikirangaminsi kiranga ibihe bizwi. Guhuza ni ingaruka nyamukuru. Guhanura y_t mugihe t, ibiranga ntibigomba gushyiramo y_t cyangwa indangagaciro. Impuzandengo yiminsi irindwi igomba kurangirira kuri t-1 niba intego ari y_t. Ikosa risanzwe ni ukubara ibizunguruka mbere yo kwimuka, birimo intego yo kureba. Irindi ni gari ya moshi-igeragezwa itandukanijwe, aho umurongo uzaza ushobora gutoza icyitegererezo cyasuzumwe mugihe cyambere kandi aho Windows irengereye isangira amakuru-amwe. Reba hypothetical buri cyumweru-iteganyagihe. Ibiranga bishobora kuba bikubiyemo icyumweru kimwe gishize, ibyumweru bine bishize, bikurikiranye ibyumweru bine bivuze, icyumweru hamwe nicyerekezo cyibiruhuko. Buri gaciro kuboneka kugomba gukurikiranwa: kalendari yikiruhuko irazwi, mugihe ikirere nyacyo gishobora kutamenyekana keretse iteganyagihe ryakoreshejwe. Ikiranga kirashobora guhuzwa namateka ariko ntikiboneka mugihe cyicyemezo. Koresha igihe cyateganijwe kwemeza nko kuzunguruka cyangwa kwagura Windows, hamwe nibiteganijwe gutambuka bihuye no gukoresha. Icyuho kirashobora gukenerwa mugihe ibirango bigeze hamwe no gutinda cyangwa ibiranga ibihe byuzuza idirishya ryikizamini. Bikwiranye na scalers na imputers gusa muri buri cyiciro cyamahugurwa. Kubireba intambwe nyinshi, hitamo niba ugomba guhanura ukoresheje ibizaba mbere, guhanura buri cyerekezo, cyangwa gukoresha ingamba hamwe na covariates zizwi. Suzuma kurwanya ibihe byoroheje kandi ukurikirane uko imikorere ihinduka mugihe. Kwiga-ibiranga imyigire itanga guhanura guhindagurika, ariko kwizerwa kwayo guterwa nigihe cyo gutanga amakuru hamwe nigihe gihamye.
Ingaruka z'Ingamba
Igiciro na bije
Ibyemezo byubwubatsi bitwara imikorere nigiciro cyimikorere kumyaka.
Ibyemezo bisobanutse
Ubuhanga bwa tekinike bufasha amakipe guhitamo umurongo ukwiye, ntabwo ari shyashya gusa.
Kugenzura ubuziranenge
Guhitamo neza bya injeniyeri bigabanya ibintu byizewe mubikorwa.
Ejo hazaza ha Lag Ibiranga Ibihe Byateganijwe
Sisitemu ya Lag-ibiranga irashobora gutera imbere mukubika buri nkomoko yateganijwe hamwe nibisobanuro nyabyo bifotora biboneka muricyo gihe. Ibi bifasha gusubira inyuma kandi bigafasha gukora iperereza nyuma yo gutungurwa. Amakipe agomba gukurikirana ibiranga gushya, ibirango byatinze hamwe namakosa yihariye ya horizon, hanyuma agereranya ingamba zitaziguye kandi zisubiramo aho ari ingirakamaro. Kalendari na gahunda-ibyabaye amakuru akeneye igihe cyihariye cyo kuboneka. Mugihe covariates nshya iboneka, wemeze umusanzu wabo ukoresheje amakuru gusa yaba yarabayeho mumateka. Guteganya gukomeye biterwa cyane nigihe cyamakuru nigishushanyo mbonera nkuko guhitamo icyitegererezo.
Gushyira mu bikorwa Isi
Kugirango utegure ibisabwa kumunsi t, icyitegererezo gikoresha ibisabwa kuri t-1 na t-7 nkibiranga ibirarane. Intego irasabwa kuri t, bityo inyongeramusaruro zombi zigomba kuboneka mbere yuko iteganyagihe ritangwa.
Kuzunguruka iminsi irindwi bisobanura kubiteganijwe kuri t bigomba gukoresha indangagaciro binyuze muri t-1. Harimo intego yumunsi agaciro nyako yatanga igisubizo mubiranga.
Ibiranga ikirangaminsi nkicyumweru cyangwa ukwezi birashobora kumenyekana hakiri kare, mugihe ikirere cyamenyekanye cyangwa kuzamurwa ni inyongeramusaruro zemewe niba ibyo bateganya cyangwa gahunda yabonetse mugihe cyo guhanura.
Itsinda risuzuma ibipimo byerekana inkomoko kandi bigashyiramo icyuho mugihe ibirango byatinze cyangwa gufunga Windows byashoboraga kureka imyitozo ikubiyemo amakuru yegereye igihe cyibizamini.
Ingaruka & Kurinda
Gutezimbere igipimo kimwe gishobora guhisha intege nke za sisitemu.
Ibikorwa Remezo no kubungabunga akenshi usanga bidahabwa agaciro.
Icyuho cyumutekano no kwitegereza birashobora kwiyongera uko sisitemu igenda igorana.
Igishushanyo mbonera
Sobanura ubukererwe, ubuziranenge, nigiciro cyibiciro mbere yo kubishyira mubikorwa.
Ibipimo byerekana umutwaro ufatika hamwe namakuru yimiterere.
Gukurikirana ibikoresho kubikosa, drift, ningaruka zabakoresha.
Tegura inzira yo gusubiza ibyabaye mbere yo gupima.
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Ibibazo bikunze kubazwa
Ni ibihe bintu biranga ibihe byo guteganya ibihe?
Ibiranga ibintu bihinduka guhanura mubyigishijwe bigenzurwa muguhuza ibyashize hamwe nibindi bizwi-ku-iteganyagihe-byinjira hamwe nintego yigihe kizaza. Guhuza ingengabihe ikosora, kuzenguruka-idirishya imbibi no kwemeza igihe-ni ngombwa kugirango wirinde amakuru yigihe kizaza mumyitozo.
Guhanura y_t mbere yigihe t, ni ubuhe buryo bwo gutinda bwemewe by'agateganyo?
Indorerezi ibanza iraboneka mbere yigihe cyagenwe, mugihe intego zigihe hamwe nagaciro kazoza ntabwo.
Ni hehe ikurikira iminsi irindwi isobanura iherezo mugihe uteganya agaciro k'umunsi ukurikira?
Idirishya rigomba gukoresha gusa amakuru aboneka mbere yintego kugirango wirinde kumeneka.
Ni ukubera iki gutandukana bidasubirwaho gutanga isuzuma ridashoboka?
Gutandukana bisanzwe birashobora guhindura ibihe byakurikiranye, bigatuma amakuru azaza agira ingaruka kubizamini byigihe.
Ni ryari igipimo cyibiruhuko giteganijwe kiranga ibimenyetso byemewe?
Ikiranga gifite agaciro niba agaciro kacyo kaboneka ku nkomoko iteganijwe, nk'itariki izwi.
Kuki kwemeza gutandukana birimo icyuho?
Icyuho kirashobora kugabanya kumeneka kuva gutinda kwa label cyangwa Windows zuzuzanya hafi yumupaka wa gari ya moshi.
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