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AI需求预测测验

审查全球预测、概率库存决策、经典基线、泄漏、外部信号和基础模型限制。

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问题 1 的 8

Why can one global forecasting model help when an organization has many related series?

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  1. Why can one global forecasting model help when an organization has many related series?
    • It can learn shared patterns across series while retaining series-specific inputs
    • It guarantees the same forecast error for every series
    • It replaces chronological validation with a random split
    • It means one model is trained separately for each series
  2. 为什么概率(分位数)预测对于库存计划很有价值?
    • 他们给出一个单一的保证数字
    • 它们表达了范围和信心,以便规划者可以针对风险设置安全库存
    • 它们消除了对任何历史数据的需要
    • 他们使预测运行得更快
  3. 哪种是早于现代机器学习方法的经典统计预测方法?
    • 时间融合变压器
    • 深度增强现实
    • 阿里玛
    • 时代调频
  4. 培训需求预测员时要避免的关键陷阱是什么?
    • 使用日历功能
    • 包括促销信息
    • 产生置信区间
    • 将未来数据泄漏到过去预测的训练中
  5. 哪种外部信号最有可能改善冰淇淋销售的预测?
    • 每日气温和天气
    • 服务器正常运行时间日志
    • 首席执行官生日
    • 网站上的字体选择
  6. What did the cited decoder-only foundation-model paper report about its model’s zero-shot forecasts?
    • It guarantees better forecasts for every business series
    • On several public datasets, out-of-the-box accuracy came close to supervised models trained for each dataset
    • It eliminates the need for statistical baselines
    • It forecasts only with fine-tuning on each target series
  7. What architecture does the DeepAR paper use to produce forecasts across related time series?
    • A single ARIMA model fitted separately to each series
    • A static lookup table of future values
    • An autoregressive recurrent network trained on many related series
    • A diffusion image model that reads plotted charts
  8. Why evaluate a demand model against statistical baselines?
    • To ensure a neural model always wins
    • To make data leakage unavoidable
    • To remove uncertainty from demand
    • To test whether added model complexity improves the target forecast task