Kwenzekeni
I-Pew Research Center ibika ukuthi i-52% yabantu abadala base-US bakhathazeke kakhulu kunokuba bajabule ngokusetshenziswa okwenyuka kwe-AI ekuphileni kwansuku zonke, kuyilapho i-71% ilindele ukuthi i-AI iholele emisebenzini embalwa yase-US eminyakeni engu-20 ezayo.
I-Pew Research Center yenza inhlolovo yabantu abadala base-US abangu-3,488 kusukela ngoJuni 22 kuya ku-28, 2026, nge-American Trends Panel. U-Pew uthi inhlolovo imele imibono yabantu abadala base-U.S. Isikhungo sithole ukuthi u-52% wabaphenduli bazizwe bekhathazeke kakhulu kunokujabula ngokusetshenziswa okwengeziwe kwe-AI ekuphileni kwansuku zonke. Abanye abangu-37% bazizwa bekhathazeke ngokulinganayo futhi bejabule, kuyilapho u-9% bezizwa bejabule kakhulu kunokukhathazeka. Abaphenduli abangazange baphendule abazange baboniswe eshadini elishicilelwe. Umphumela umaka ushintsho ukusuka ku-2021, lapho ama-37% ayekhathazeke kakhulu kunokujabulile, ama-45% azizwa yomibili imizwa ngokulinganayo kanti u-18% wayejabule kakhulu kunokukhathazeka.
Abantu abadala abasebasha babonise ukuguquguquka okuqhubekayo okuqhubekayo kudatha. Kubantu abadala abaneminyaka engu-18 kuya kwengama-29, isabelo esasikhathazeke kakhulu kunokujabula sikhuphuke sisuka ku-31% ngo-2021 saya ku-39% ngo-2024, 47% ngo-2025 kanye no-55% ngo-2026. U-11% ngo-2026. I-Pew ibika ukuthi ukukhathazeka kuphinde kwafinyelela iningi kubantu abadala abaneminyaka engu-65 nangaphezulu, ku-59%, nakuba lelo qembu libe nesabelo esincane kakhulu esibonisa injabulo enkulu, ku-4%. Kuyo yonke iminyaka yobudala, okungenani ama-47% athi akhathazeke kakhulu kunokuthokoza ngo-2026.
Imiphumela yokuqashwa yayiqinile ngokufanayo. U-Pew ubika ukuthi u-71% wabantu abadala base-US bakholelwa ukuthi i-AI izoholela emisebenzini embalwa e-United States phakathi neminyaka engu-20 ezayo, uma kuqhathaniswa nama-64% ngo-2024. Bangu-5% kuphela abalindele imisebenzi eyengeziwe, kuyilapho i-10% yathi i-AI ngeke yenze umehluko omkhulu futhi i-14% yayingaqiniseki; abantu abangaphendulanga ababoniswanga. Kubantu abadala abaneminyaka engu-18 kuya kwengama-29, isabelo esilindele imisebenzi embalwa sikhuphuke sisuka ku-61% ngo-2024 saya ku-73% ngo-2026. Lokhu kuwukulindelwe okubikiwe, hhayi izilinganiso zemiphumela yamanje yokuqashwa.
Imininingwane yomthombo: pewresearch.org ↗
Kungani kubalulekile
Okutholakele kukhombisa ukuthi ukukhathazeka komphakathi nge-AI kunwebeka kunokuba kufiphale, kufaka phakathi abantu abadala abasebasha. Bakala okulindelekile nomuzwa, hhayi ukulahleka kwemisebenzi kwangempela noma imiphumela yezinhlelo ezithile ze-AI.
Ukubaluleka okumaphakathi kwenhlolovo isiqondiso nobubanzi bemizwa yomphakathi. Ukukhathazeka nge-AI akusagxilile emaqenjini amadala noma kukhawulelwe eqenjini elincane labangabazayo. Izibalo zika-Pew zibonisa ukuthi iningi labantu abadala kuzo zonke izigaba zeminyaka manje bazichaza njengabakhathazeke kakhulu kunokuba bajabule nge-AI ekuphileni kwansuku zonke. Kubantu abadala abangaphansi kweminyaka engama-30, lolu shintsho luphawuleka ikakhulukazi ngoba ukukhathazeka kwabo kwaqhubeka nokukhuphuka ngemuva kuka-2023, kanti umthombo uthi ukukhathazeka phakathi kwamaqembu amadala kukhuphuke ikakhulukazi phakathi neminyaka emibili yokuqala yenkathi efundwayo.
Leyo phethini iphakamisa ukuthi imibono yabantu abadala abasebasha ingase ishintshe njengoba behlangabezana nezingxoxo ezengeziwe zemiphumela ye-AI emsebenzini nempilo yansuku zonke, nakuba inhlolovo ingazihlonzi izizathu zokushintsha. Imininingwane yemisebenzi iphinde ikhombise ukuthi abantu baseMelika bazihlela kanjani izibalo zezomnotho. Iningi lilindele ukuthi i-AI inciphise ukuqashwa eminyakeni engama-20, kuyilapho abambalwa kuphela abalindele ukuthi idale imisebenzi eyengeziwe. Umphumela awusho ukuthi leso sibikezelo sizoba neqiniso yini, kodwa sihambisana nendlela abasebenzi, abafundi, abaqashi kanye nabakhi benqubomgomo abangabhekana ngayo nokutholwa. Okulindelwe ngumphakathi kungakha izimfuno zokuqeqeshwa, ukubeka izinto obala, ukuvikelwa kwendawo yokusebenza kanye nokuziphendulela. Umthombo awunikezi bufakazi bokuthi inhlolovo ngokwayo yashintsha ukuziphatha, inqubomgomo yaba nomthelela noma ibikezela ukuvota kwesikhathi esizayo, ukuthenga noma izinqumo zokuqashwa.
Kunemikhawulo ebalulekile kulokho okungaphethwa. I-Pew ilinganise lokho abaphendula abacabanga ukuthi i-AI izoyenza, hhayi ukuthi mingaki imisebenzi eseyenziwe ngokuzenzakalelayo, imiphi imisebenzi engase ithinteke noma ukuthi izindima ezintsha zizoqeda ukulahlekelwa yini. Ucwaningo alubonisi ukuthi i-AI iyimbangela yanoma yiluphi ushintsho lwamanje lomsebenzi. Futhi ayibonisi ukuthi abaphendulayo basekela imibono yabo kokuhlangenwe nakho okuqondile, ukusakazwa kwezindaba, izinqumo zomqashi, ukusetshenziswa komuntu siqu kwama-chatbots noma ukukhathazeka okubanzi kwezomnotho. Umthombo uthi abantu abadala abangaphansi kweminyaka engama-30 bavame ukucabanga ukuthi i-AI izoba yimbi emphakathini nakubo ngokwabo, nokuthi abaningi basebenzisa ama-chatbots, kodwa ayinikezi isixhumanisi esiyimbangela phakathi kwaleyo mibono kanye nesibikezelo sokuqashwa. Abukho ubufakazi obuzimele ezintweni ezinikeziwe obuqinisekisa noma obuphikisa izibikezelo zenhlolovo.
Interactive Mechanism: How It Actually Works
Explore the underlying technology behind this development interactively.
What did neural scaling law research (e.g. Kaplan et al., 2020) observe?
Ongakubuka ngokulandelayo
Ucwaningo lwangomuso kufanele luhlole ukuthi ingabe lokhu okulindelekile kuhambisana nezinguquko ezilinganisekayo ekuqashweni, ekudilizweni, emiholweni, ekuthathweni kwezingane zasemsebenzini kanye nezemfundo. Kuzobaluleka futhi ukulandelela ukuthi ukukhathazeka kuthinta ukulawulwa, ukuqeqeshwa kanye nokusetshenziswa komphakathi kwe-AI.
Ukuhlolwa okulandelayo okuwusizo kuzoba ukuthi lokho okulindelekile okushiwo kuhambisana nemiphumela yemakethe yezabasebenzi ebhekiwe. Ukubika okuzayo kanye nocwaningo kufanele kuhlole ukuqashwa, ukudilizwa, izinguquko zamaholo, izinguquko emisebenzini kanye nokunyakaza phakathi kwemisebenzi, kube nemiphumela ehlukaniswa ngeminyaka, imfundo, imboni kanye nezwe. Lezo zinyathelo zizosiza ukwehlukanisa ukwesaba okubanzi kokususwa endaweni ethile ekuchayekeni okuzenzakalelayo endaweni yokusebenza. Bangase futhi baveze ukuthi i-AI iyashintsha yini ukwakheka komsebenzi ngaphandle kokunciphisa inani lokuqashwa, okungenzeka ukuthi lolu cwaningo aluhlolisi.
Abacwaningi kufanele futhi babuze abaphendulayo mayelana nokuxhumana kwabo okuqondile ne-AI. Imibuzo ebalulekile yokulandelela ihlanganisa ukuthi umqashi womuntu usebenzisa i-AI, noma ngabe ubuchwepheshe bushintshile imisebenzi yakhe noma amahora, noma ngabe bathole ukuqeqeshwa, nokuthi babheka i-AI njengenye indawo noma ithuluzi losizo. Ukuqhathanisa izimpendulo ezivela kubasebenzisi bangempela, abangasebenzisi, abasebenzi kanye nabantu abafuna umsebenzi kungacacisa ukuthi yini ebangela ukukhathazeka okukhulayo. Umthombo we-Pew onikeziwe awuhlinzeki ngalezo ziphambano noma ukhomba izimboni ezilandela imibono yabaphendulayo.
Inqubomgomo kanye nempendulo yomkhiqizo kuzoba enye inkomba enengqondo. Buka ubufakazi bokuthi abaqashi, izikole kanye nohulumeni babhekana nokukhathazeka komphakathi ngokuziqeqesha kabusha, ngokudalula ukusetshenziswa kwe-AI, ukubonisana nabasebenzi noma imithetho yezinqumo ezinomphumela omkhulu. Kuzobaluleka futhi ukubona ukuthi ukungabaza komphakathi kuyakushintsha yini ukutholwa noma kumane kuhambisane nakho. Amagagasi e-Future Pew noma izinhlolovo eziqhathanisekayo kufanele zigcine amagama ombuzo ofanayo ukuze izinguquko zilandelelwe, kuyilapho kwengezwa izinyathelo zokuhlangenwe nakho kwangempela. Kuze kube yileso sikhathi, isiphetho esiqinisekisiwe esiqine kakhulu simayelana nomuzwa: Abantu baseMelika, okuhlanganisa neningi lentsha, baya ngokuya belindela ukuthi i-AI izodala ukuphazamiseka kwezomnotho.