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Large language models such as GPT-4 can produce plausible differential diagnosis lists from a case description, and in published studies they often include the correct diagnosis.
They are not validated diagnostic devices. Their safest use is as a structured second-opinion brainstorm that a clinician checks against the patient, and doctors who understand both their strengths and their failure modes get the most out of them.
Much of the evidence comes from case vignettes. In a 2023 JAMA research letter, Kanjee and colleagues tested GPT-4 on 70 difficult cases from the New England Journal of Medicine clinicopathological conferences. The final diagnosis appeared in the model's differential in about 64 percent of cases and was its top diagnosis in about 39 percent. A randomized trial by Goh and colleagues, published in JAMA Network Open in 2024, gave 50 physicians either GPT-4 plus usual resources or usual resources alone for structured diagnostic cases. Access to GPT-4 did not significantly improve physicians' diagnostic reasoning scores. GPT-4 working alone, however, scored substantially higher than the physicians who used only usual resources. One interpretation is that physicians did not know how to use the tool well, or did not trust it when it disagreed with them. Research systems such as Google's AMIE have also been tested on diagnostic dialogue and differential generation, with strong results in controlled studies. These results need careful reading. Published case series may be in a model's training data. Vignettes arrive already cleaned up, with the relevant findings chosen and summarized, while real patients bring incomplete, contradictory and unstated information. Scoring "correct diagnosis somewhere in the list" rewards long lists, which can prompt extra testing. The common misconception is that benchmark accuracy equals bedside accuracy. It does not. Known failure modes include confident but wrong reasoning, invented references or lab thresholds, anchoring on whatever diagnosis the user hints at, over-weighting common textbook presentations, and missing time-critical conditions when the description leaves out vital signs. Privacy is a separate issue. Entering identifiable patient information into a consumer chatbot without a business associate agreement can breach HIPAA, so clinicians should use tools their organization has approved.
Thiết kế cấp ứng dụng xác định liệu AI có cải thiện kết quả thực tế hay không.
Tích hợp quy trình làm việc tốt sẽ giúp tăng năng suất mà người dùng có thể tin tưởng.
Các trường hợp sử dụng có phạm vi phù hợp giúp giảm bớt sự mệt mỏi khi thay đổi và rủi ro triển khai.
Diagnostic AI is moving from general chatbots toward tools built into EHRs and evidence platforms, where they can see structured data and cite sources. That may reduce some errors, but it adds the risk that clinicians defer to a confident suggestion. The Goh trial points to the open question: how clinicians and models should work together, not just how accurate the model is alone. Prospective studies with real patients and real outcomes are still scarce compared with vignette benchmarks. Until more exist, the defensible position is that these tools can widen a differential and prompt reconsideration. The clinician still owns the diagnosis.
A hospitalist types a de-identified summary of fever, rash, eosinophilia and a new anticonvulsant into her health system's approved AI tool and asks for can't-miss diagnoses. DRESS appears on the list, and she reviews the medication timeline.
A resident asks the model which findings would best tell apart his top three diagnoses for acute dyspnea, then uses the answer to plan a focused exam and tests, not to settle on a diagnosis.
A primary care physician who suspects a viral illness asks the model to argue against her leading diagnosis and list what she might be missing. This is a deliberate check on anchoring.
A clinician gets two different ranked lists after asking the same question twice with slightly different wording, and takes that as a sign the model's ordering is not a probability estimate.
Tự động hóa một quy trình bị hỏng có thể khuếch đại các vấn đề hiện có.
Các nhóm có thể tự động hóa quá mức và loại bỏ sự phán xét cần thiết của con người.
Chất lượng có thể thay đổi nếu kết quả đầu ra không được đánh giá liên tục.
Lập sơ đồ quy trình làm việc hiện tại và xác định bước có mức độ ma sát cao nhất.
Xác định các điểm kiểm tra của con người trước khi tự động hóa hoàn toàn.
Đào tạo người dùng về lời nhắc, đường dẫn leo thang và tiêu chuẩn chất lượng.
Theo dõi kết quả ở cấp độ nhiệm vụ để xác nhận giá trị bền vững.
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Large language models such as GPT-4 can produce plausible differential diagnosis lists from a case description, and in published studies they often include the correct diagnosis. They are not validated diagnostic devices. Their safest use is as a structured second-opinion brainstorm that a clinician checks against the patient, and doctors who understand both their strengths and their failure modes get the most out of them.
The final diagnosis was in the differential in about 64 percent of cases and was the top diagnosis in about 39 percent.
Physicians with GPT-4 did not significantly outperform physicians with usual resources, yet the model alone scored higher. That points to how people use the tool.
Pre-organized findings and possible training data contamination both make vignettes easier than messy real encounters.
Models tend to agree with the framing they are given, so hinting at a diagnosis pulls the differential toward it.
A longer list is more likely to contain the answer, but long differentials in practice can lead to extra and unnecessary workups.
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