IA ci Meteo
Ay modelu meteo yu juntuwaay yu bees yi deñuy jàng motif atmosphere yi ci seetlu yu ñu def ci ay fukki at ci ginnaaw, ñu defar ay forecast yu 10 fan ci ay segond yuy joŋante mbaa raw ay modelu super ordinatër yu lalu ci physique te jël ay waxtu ngir dox.
Résumé
This is reshaping how meteorologists predict storms, heatwaves, and hurricanes.
Plongeur bu xóot
Lu weesu 70 at, xam meteo bi dafa tekki ni ñuy saafara equation yu physique fluide ci super ordinatër yu mag — muy liggéey bu ñuy woowe xam meteo numérique (NWP). IA defay soppi gis gis bii: ay xeetu GraphCast bu DeepMind, Pangu-Weather bu Huawei ak FourCastNet bu NVIDIA deñu leen taggat ci ERA5, lu tollu ci 40 att ci meteo bu aduna bi ci waxtu bu nekk. Dañu jàng rapoor bi am ci digganté atmosphere bu tay bi ak bu suba bi, ba noppi ñu seetlu ëlëg ci méngale ay motif, du ñu def ay simulation ci physique. GraphCast dafay defar ab meteo bu 10 fan ci dayo 0.25 degre ci diir bu néew benn simili ci benn TPU, ak ay waxtu ci benn ordinatër bu mag. Ci 2023, GraphCast moo raw xeetu ECMWF buñ miin ci mbir yu bari. Centre européen bi leegi mingi doxal modelu juntuwaay yu bees yi, AIFS.
Gis-gis xarala
GraphCast dafay wane globe bi ni graphe: ay node yu bari yuñ boole ci eskaal yu bari, loolu mooy tax xibaar bi di tasaaroo ci gox bi ak ci distance yu sori ci jéego yu néew. Reseau neuronal graphique dafay jël tolluwaayu atmosphere bi fi nekk ak bi njëkk, ba noppi wax luy tollu 6 waxtu ci kanam. Soo bëggee seetlu 10 fan, dafay delloo limu génne ci autoregressivement, 40 yoon. Taggat yaram dafay baaxal njuumte pondéré ci niveau pression ak variable yu melni tamperatiir, ngelaw ak niir.
njeextalu pexe
Kontekst bi ak sàrt yi
Xeetu liggéey bi mooy wane ndax xalaati IA yi dina ñu mëna wéy di jëflante ak dëggantaan.
Xool kalite
Teg domen yi deñuy indi jafe-jafe ci ni njuumte yi di doxee ak ci xeetu saytu yi.
Tabax tànneef
Dugalug liggéey bu baax dafay méngale kàttan xarala yi ak def liggéey bi ci kanam.
Ëlëgu IA ci xam luy am ci klimaa bi
Xalaatal juntuwaay yu bees yi mungi joge ci gestu dem ci ligeey yu bës bu nekk: ECMWF, UK Met Office, ak ñeneen leegi ñungi doxal ay xeetu juntuwaay yu bees ci wetu fisik. Frontier yi ci topp ñooy ensemble yu lalu ci diffusion (GenCast) yuy xayma ñàkka wóor, ay model yu yam ci kilometre, ak 'model yu fondaasioŋ' ngir Suuf si yuy jëflante ak klimaa bi, klimaa bi, ak kalite ngelaw li ñoom ñaar. Sistem yu ibrid yuy boole gaawaayu IA ak wóolu physique ngir ay jafe jafe yu nééw, lu muna am la, ndax xeetu done yu sell yi munnañu xajamal xew xew yu musul am te nekkul ci done yu taggat yi.
Doxal ci àdduna dëgg
GraphCast bu DeepMind bi defar ay meteo yu 10 fan ci diir bu néew benn simili, ñu koy jëfandikoo ngir màndargaal yoonu sikloon yi ay fan ci kanam
ECMWF mingi doxal xeetu liggéeyam AIFS ngir mottali seen xam-xam bu yàgg bi lalu ci physique ngir sarwiisu meteo yu Europe
NVIDIA's FourCastNet defay gaaw defar ay ensemble yu yaatu ngir xayma lu mëna xew ci ngelaw lu metti ak taw
GenCast defa defar ay meteo yu lalu ci lu muna am lu raw ECM bu ECMWF ci 97 ci teemeer boo jël ci meteo bi ñu natt, di gëna suqali njiitu sikoloon toropikaal yi
Risk yi ak balustrade yi
Wareef yiñ tëral mën nañu dindi prototype yu am doole yi.
Done yu am taarix mën nañu tënk luy lore ci yenn askan.
Sistem yu yàgg yi mën nañu indi ay jafe-jafe ci lëkkaloo ak njëg yu nëbbu.
Roadmap ngir samp gi
Boole ay kàngam ci domen bi, dalee ko ci kaadar jafe-jafe yi ba ci jàngat bi.
Nafar ay yoon ngir saytu ak ay këyit balaa ngay tàmbali.
Teela xool ni ñuy sàmmoonte ak seeni wareef ci wàllu kaaraange.
Defar ko ci ay fase yu leer ci taxawal ak dellu ginaaw.
Weyal di banneexu
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Gis bi ci topp
IA ci xam luy am ci mbënd
Laaj yi ñuy faral di laaj
What is AI in Weather Forecasting?
Ay modelu meteo yu juntuwaay yu bees yi deñuy jàng motif atmosphere yi ci seetlu yu ñu def ci ay fukki at ci ginnaaw, ñu defar ay forecast yu 10 fan ci ay segond yuy joŋante mbaa raw ay modelu super ordinatër yu lalu ci physique te jël ay waxtu ngir dox. Loolu mingi soppi anam wi meteorologue yi di waxee ci taw yu metti yi, tàngoor wu metti wi ak sikloon yi.
Ban setu done la xeetu meteo IA yu mag yi melni GraphCast di njëkka tàggatoo?
GraphCast ak yeneen xeeti model yu mel noonu, dañu leen tàggat ci ECMWF's ERA5 reanalyse, biy joxe fukki at ci done atmosphere global yu méngoo waxtu bu nekk.
Lan moo wuutale xeetu IA bu melni GraphCast ak xayma klimaa bi fi yàgg a nekk?
NWP dafay saafara equation fluide-dynamique ci anamu lim, ci noonu la IA di modele motif-match ci diggante yiñ jàngee ci done yu yàgg yi.
naka la ko GraphCast mënee defaree ab meteo bu 10 fan ci jéego bu 6 waxtu ci meteo?
GraphCast dafay wax luy waaja am 6 waxtu ci kanam, ba noppi mu joxewaat wax ji ñu wax ni dugal, baamtu lu tollu ci 40 yoon ngir yegg ci 10 fan.
Lu tollu ci ban diir la GraphCast di jël ngir defar ab pronostic global bu 10 fan ci benn TPU?
Benn ci njariñ yi gëna mag ci IA mooy gaawaay: GraphCast du daw ci diir bu néew benn simili moo gën ay waxtu ci ordinatër bu mag bi tuddu NWP.
Lan mooy gàttal bu mag bi ci xeetu meteo IA bu lalu ci done kese?
Ndax te dañuy jàngee ci done yu yàgg yi, xeetu IA yi mën nañu am jafe-jafe ak ay xew-xew yu rëy yu musul am ci seen taggat.