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Machine-learning studies have explored training and monitoring data to estimate sports-injury risk.
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Results are population- and study-specific; a score is not a diagnosis or a reliable promise that an injury will or will not occur.
Published work has tested injury forecasting with GPS and related workload data. Carey and colleagues used three seasons from one Australian football club and found poor performance for some injury outcomes when models were tested on a previously unseen season. Rossi and colleagues studied GPS workload data from a professional soccer club. A 2026 systematic review found substantial methodological variation and reported that none of its included studies used external validation. These studies do not establish a universal model or a general clinical decision rule.
Summarize GPS-derived workload features for a defined training period.
Compare predicted and observed outcomes on a later season not used for training.
Report false positives and false negatives alongside an aggregate score.
Use an estimate only as one input to qualified medical and coaching judgment.
More data or complex models do not by themselves establish useful injury prediction. Future research needs clear outcome definitions, temporal and external validation, representative populations, transparent error reporting, and careful assessment before any medical or training use.
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Machine-learning studies have explored training and monitoring data to estimate sports-injury risk. Results are population- and study-specific; a score is not a diagnosis or a reliable promise that an injury will or will not occur.
The ratio compares short-window and longer-window workload summaries; published critiques caution against treating it as a universal injury rule.
Rare outcomes can make aggregate accuracy misleading; performance should include error-sensitive metrics.
Carey et al. report GPS devices, accelerometers, and player perceived exertion ratings as load measures.
The cited studies frame outputs as forecasts or estimates, not certainty or diagnosis.
The paper reports AUC below 0.65 for non-contact and non-contact time-loss injury models on the third season.
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