AI Glossary Term

What does “Model Drift” mean?

Definition

Performance degradation over time as real-world conditions diverge from training assumptions.

How Model Drift works

Chart for Model Drift: Model performance against Time since deployment. Lines: Performance over time. Marked points: Alert and retrain.Alert and retrainTime since deploymentModel performancePerformance over time

Example

A fraud model works well at launch. Months later, fraudsters change tactics, and the model's catch rate falls. Monitoring shows the decline, and the team retrains on newer examples.

Why it matters

A model that is not monitored can quietly get worse. Regular checks protect against stale or failing predictions.

Common questions

What causes model drift?

Changes in inputs, in the relationship between inputs and outcomes, or in how people use the system.

How is it detected?

By tracking performance on labeled samples and comparing input statistics with the training data.

Is drift always bad?

It signals the model may no longer fit the world. Small drift may be tolerable, but large drift needs action.

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